Category: Uncategorized

On Saturday I gave the presentation “Predicting Purchases, Rare Diseases, and More: Using Ordinal Regression to Estimate Rare Event Probabilities” at Data Con LA 2023. I discussed using the proportional odds ordinal regression model to improve the estimation of probability estimates in classification with class imbalance. I built up to discussing PRESTO, the method developed…

Simulation studies (sometimes called synthetic data experiments or Monte Carlo simulations) are useful tools for generating evidence about whether a statistical claim is true. For example: Here’s the idea: Recently I taught a tutorial on the basics on simulation studies for undergraduate students as a part of the USC JumpStart program. I taught the basics…

I’m excited to announce that “Predicting Rare Events by Shrinking Towards Proportional Odds” has been accepted to the Fortieth International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML 2023)! In the paper, we propose PRESTO, a novel method for improving classification in the class imbalance setting. You can read my brief summary of the paper on Twitter.

In a 2022 research paper that I wrote with my advisor Jacob Bien, we proposed a novel feature selection method called cluster stability selection. Cluster stability selection is a method for identifying features that are useful for predicting a response variable. It has applications in medical research (including genomics and genetics), economics, analyzing survey data,…